Category Archives: Uncategorized

The Economic Impact of the Virus

Posted on March 19, 2020 by David Posnett

In the East Hampton Star: GUESTWORDS By John Tepper Marlin March 19, 2020   A monument near the office where I worked in Washington, D.C., until Sunday bears this quote by the Argentinean Jose Narosky: “In war there are no … Continue reading →

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COVID-19: What is the Best Mitigation Strategy?

Posted on March 18, 2020 by David Posnett

Interesting and thorough paper on COVID-19 disease modeling in the UK and the USA with an emphasis on analysis of each mitigation strategy (quarantine, closing schools, etc) or combination of strategies.  It is a 20-page paper.  So I am reprinting … Continue reading →

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Logarithmic Progression of COVID-19 Creates a Problem

Posted on March 18, 2020 by David Posnett

This is a long post to basically say that we are going to run out of hospital beds, ICU beds and ventilators if we don’t enact very strict social distancing/isolation rules immediately.  It is based on the known exponential growth … Continue reading →

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The Cry for National Leadership

Posted on March 18, 2020 by David Posnett

By Perry Gershon Posted Tuesday, March 17, 2020 12:53 pm in the Long Island Advance Perry Gershon, Candidate for Congress NY-1   As President Trump flails in his attempts to lead our country through one of the most severe challenges … Continue reading →

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Hospital Beds Will Run Out

Posted on March 17, 2020 by David Posnett

This is a great tool to check the future availability of hospital beds in your area. On Eastern Long Island we will nearly certainly run out:   Infections are supposed to peak by early May which puts us in the … Continue reading →

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Velocity of COVID-19 spread

Posted on March 16, 2020 by David Posnett

This is a measure of how fast the COVID-19 virus is spreading in different countries: from the Financial Times by Steve Bernard, Cale Tilford and John Burn-Murdoch The steeper the slope, the faster the virus is spreading.  When the slope … Continue reading →

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State of Emergency: COVID-19

Posted on March 15, 2020 by David Posnett

Thank you East Hampton Star, for running the historical piece “Then and Now” on March 12th: “Dr. David Edwards, the town health officer in 1918, reported six cases of influenza in early October. A week later there were 35 cases, … Continue reading →

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COVID-19 disease modelling

Posted on March 14, 2020 by David Posnett

Excellent article in the NY Times: Worst-Case Estimates for U.S. Coronavirus Deaths By Sheri Fink March 13, 2020Updated 5:02 p.m. ET Projections based on C.D.C. scenarios show a potentially vast toll. But those numbers don’t account for interventions now underway. … Continue reading →

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Still no COVID testing available?

Posted on March 13, 2020 by David Posnett

THIS REPORT IS RIGHT ON  – Here is the real problem. After Trump promised ‘anybody’ can get coronavirus testing, patients and doctors still complain of roadblocks  – By Shawn Boburg,  Emma Brown,  Derek Hawkins and  Amy Goldstein  March 12, 2020 … Continue reading →

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Trump’s Incompetence

Posted on March 13, 2020 by David Posnett

Published as Letter to the Editor in The East Hampton Star, March 12 edition Shocked East Hampton March 9, 2020 Dear David: During an impromptu press conference at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Friday, President Trump: maintained … Continue reading →

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