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A collection of writings dealing with current US & Long Island politicsWed, 29 Apr 2026 09:57:18 +0000en-US
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1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.1.4Are you 64 and making $56,800 a year? Welcome to a $20,500 Trumpcare insurance premium
https://resistancesuffolk.wp.urdemo.website/2017/06/27/are-you-64-and-making-56800-a-year-welcome-to-a-20500-trumpcare-insurance-premium/
https://resistancesuffolk.wp.urdemo.website/2017/06/27/are-you-64-and-making-56800-a-year-welcome-to-a-20500-trumpcare-insurance-premium/#commentsTue, 27 Jun 2017 15:15:12 +0000https://resistancesuffolk.wp.urdemo.website/2017/06/27/are-you-64-and-making-56800-a-year-welcome-to-a-20500-trumpcare-insurance-premium/Continue reading →]]>
Popular vote loser Donald Trump freely admits he called the House version of Trumpcare “mean, mean, mean” and also claimed that he wanted a Senate bill that is “generous, kind, with heart.” That’s not what he got with the Senate version of Trumpcare, the “Better Care Act.” In fact, the Congressional Budget Office says it’s just as mean by the numbers, if not more so.
According to their estimates, 15 million people will lose their insurance next year, 2018. An election year. By 2026, 22 million people who are now insured will have lost that insurance. Compared to the Affordable Care Act, “an estimated 49 million people would be uninsured, compared with 28 million who would lack insurance that year under current law.” The biggest hit, as in the House bill, lands on Medicaid.
The largest savings would come from reductions in outlays for Medicaid—spending on the program would decline in 2026 by 26 percent in comparison with what CBO projects under current law—and from changes to the Affordable Care Act’s (ACA’s) subsidies for nongroup health insurance. Those savings would be partially offset by the effects of other changes to the ACA’s provisions dealing with insurance coverage: additional spending designed to reduce premiums and a reduction in revenues from repealing penalties on employers who do not offer insurance and on people who do not purchase insurance. […]In later years, other changes in the legislation—lower spending on Medicaid and substantially smaller average subsidies for coverage in the nongroup market—would also lead to increases in the number of people without health insurance.
Keep in mind that “later years” part. This estimate doesn’t go beyond 2026; however the CBO doesn’t think that the so-called “flexibility” for Medicaid that block granting would be for states is all that. Instead, it would be a burden. “With less federal reimbursement for Medicaid, states would need to decide whether to commit more of their own resources to finance the program at current-law levels or to reduce spending by cutting payments to health care providers and health plans, eliminating optional services, restricting eligibility for enrollment through work requirements and other changes, or (to the extent feasible) arriving at more efficient methods for delivering services.” It also projects that post-2026, Medicaid enrollments would continue to fall.
People with individual plans will see “substantial increases in out-of-pocket spending, even though benchmark premiums would decline, on average, in 2020 and later years.” That’s because insurance would pay for a smaller share of benefits. That’s going to be true for “close to half the population, CBO and JCT expect—living in states modifying the EHBs [essential health benefits] using waivers. People who used services or benefits no longer included in the EHBs would experience substantial increases in supplemental premiums or out-of-pocket spending on health care, or would choose to forgo the services.”
In some areas of the country—particularly sparsely populated ones (are you listening Lisa Murkowski)—the CBO foresees a market collapse, the classic death spiral. “Some sparsely populated areas might have no nongroup insurance offered because the reductions in subsidies would lead fewer people to decide to purchase insurance—and markets with few purchasers are less profitable for insurers.”
Yes, this bill is mean, mean, mean. But hey, it’s got lots of tax cuts for the very rich, so expect most Republicans to overlook the other parts.
]]>https://resistancesuffolk.wp.urdemo.website/2017/06/27/are-you-64-and-making-56800-a-year-welcome-to-a-20500-trumpcare-insurance-premium/feed/2The Pulse of the Resistance is Just Fine
https://resistancesuffolk.wp.urdemo.website/2017/05/25/the-pulse-of-the-resistance-is-just-fine/
https://resistancesuffolk.wp.urdemo.website/2017/05/25/the-pulse-of-the-resistance-is-just-fine/#commentsThu, 25 May 2017 13:27:48 +0000https://resistancesuffolk.wp.urdemo.website/2017/05/25/the-pulse-of-the-resistance-is-just-fine/Continue reading →]]>Yesterday I attended an event featuring former Rep. Tim Bishop. During the Q&A session, I asked him what advice he might have for resistance groups on Long Island. He responded, “don’t let the intensity wane”.
We all know that raw emotions rapidly dissipate. When you are angry it is often a good idea to ”sleep over it” before you mouth off! So perhaps you would expect, or fear, that the outrage at our current government might dissipate too?
But here are the facts:
the numbers of new resistance groups across our county (and nationwide) continue to grow
within our own group R&R, the number of participants continues to grow. Nearly every day someone asks to join
the followers of Facebook groups, like Let’s Visit Lee Zeldin, have grown steadily
the participation of citizens at rallies and demonstrations remains strong and the number of such events is difficult to keep up with!
while most of us are fatigued by the daily bombardment with news, I don’t know of anyone who has “given up”, or signed off from email lists, etc.
the number of views of our blog continues to rise since January 1st, 2017 when it was started:
I conclude that the intensity of the resistance is not waning. On the contrary, it seems to be gaining steam.
Why? I guess the answer is obvious. The daily news is hard to ignore. We go to bed angry after watching the latest news about Trump or Zeldin. We wake up and there is even more recent awful news. Our anger is rekindled. It is impossible for the emotions to dissipate!
Yesterday in Montana, the Republican candidate (Gianforte) for Congress assaulted a journalist in front of witnesses and he was charged today with a misdemeanor. That is illegal behavior. Our President has encouraged violence against journalists and demonstrators on numerous occasions. Republicans generally acquiesce and remain silent, rather than condemning such behavior. Hooligans and hoodlums were a feature of NAZI brown shirts in the early 1930’s and this type of violence, including killings, is characteristic of regimes like those of Putin (in Russia), Dutarte (in the Philipines) and Erdogan (in Turkey), all of which are apparent role models for Mr. Trump. Trump and his enablers, including Zeldin, pose an existential threat to our democracy and our freedom. That is why the resistance will not abate.
If you need encouragement watch this great video: TED talk.